Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -700 LEH +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +1 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -12.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -9.4 (-10.4) | 142.9 (+12.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -8.8 (-9.8) | 143.6 (+11.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -10.8 (-11.8) | 144.0 (+11.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -9.5 (-10.5) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#186) | -10.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#206) | -2.47 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#212) | -3.42 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#152) | 0.383 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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