Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -450 LEH +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +19 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -9.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.3 (+10.7) | 135.9 (-6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -9.4 (+9.6) | 136.3 (-7.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -8.8 (+10.2) | 137.9 (-8.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -8.2 (+10.8) | 136.6 (-7.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#137) | -4.2 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#136) | -1.63 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#150) | -1.56 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#67) | 0.463 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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