Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +136 COLG -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -1.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -0.6 (+6.4) | 149.0 (-4.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -0.4 (+7.4) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -0.3 (+6.7) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -0.4 (+6.6) | 148.0 (-3.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#292) | -3.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#279) | -0.84 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#309) | -0.94 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#244) | 0.507 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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