Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -240 LEH +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -3.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -1.7 (+3.3) | 137.9 (-8.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -3.0 (+2.0) | 138.2 (-9.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -1.3 (+3.7) | 136.5 (-7.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -1.5 (+3.5) | 138.0 (-9.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#280) | -6.1 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#304) | -0.31 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#296) | -0.88 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#321) | 0.495 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.2% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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