Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LEH +140 COLG -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +26 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -0.4 (+26.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -0.1 (+25.9) | 139.8 (+22.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -0.8 (+26.8) | 139.7 (+22.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -0.2 (+26.2) | 140.4 (+21.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -0.4 (+26.4) | 141.5 (+20.5) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#296) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#306) | -1.13 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#316) | -1.28 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#291) | 0.451 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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