Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LEH +150 COLG -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -3.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -2.7 (+3.7) | 146.3 (+6.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -2.9 (+3.9) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -3.1 (+4.1) | 148.2 (+4.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -2.8 (+3.8) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | COLG 74 – 55 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#297) | -2.2 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#318) | -0.53 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#332) | -0.59 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#300) | 0.498 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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