But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Atlantic Sun Conference · UNF Arena · January 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -11.5 Home covered
O/U 173.5 Under
Money UNF +575 / QUC -850
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNF win
Actual QUC +7 171 Lost
Massey QUC -6.8 (-0.2)
Massey Totals 179.1 (-8.1)
Bradley-Terry 6%
Weighted B-T 2%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -7.2 (+0.2) 163.5 (+7.5) 35%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -7.3 (+0.3) 164.7 (+6.3) 23%
Baseline ML QUC -7.9 (+0.9) 163.2 (+7.8) 30%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -9.2 (+2.2) 161.2 (+9.8) 23%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 QUC 9172 UNF
Jan 24, 2025 UNF 9081 QUC
Feb 15, 2024 UNF 9379 QUC
Jan 20, 2024 UNF 9175 QUC
Jan 20, 2023 UNF 9590 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNF QUC
Overall 7-25 21-14
Conference 5-13 13-5
Home 5-8 12-2
Away 2-14 6-10
Neutral 0-3 3-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.1 84.4
Avg Pts Against 89.6 83.8
Massey -13.4 (#341) -2.9 (#214)
Bradley-Terry -3.79 (#360) -0.47 (#216)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.17 (#361) -0.77 (#223)
RPI 0.413 (#317) 0.476 (#223)
Shooting & Four Factors UNF QUC
FG% 42.0% 47.3%
3PT% 34.5% 36.0%
REB / G 29.4 33.6
OREB / G 8.1 10.9
AST / TO 0.88 1.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 56.1%
TOV% 19.9% 16.3%
ORB% 22.5% 31.8%
FT Rate 18.9% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.3% 56.3%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 14.3%
DRB% 58.3% 65.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 27.5%

Game Analysis

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