I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -15.5 Home covered
O/U 178.5 Under
Money QUC -1350 / UNF +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +19 163 Won
Massey QUC -13.4 (+5.6)
Massey Totals 183.0 (-20.0)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -10.9 (+8.1) 165.9 (-2.9) 87%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -10.6 (+8.4) 170.3 (-7.3) 87%
Baseline ML QUC -10.2 (+8.8) 170.0 (-7.0) 87%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -12.4 (+6.6) 166.2 (-3.2) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 QUC 8982 UNF
Jan 24, 2025 UNF 9081 QUC
Feb 15, 2024 UNF 9379 QUC
Jan 20, 2024 UNF 9175 QUC
Jan 20, 2023 UNF 9590 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNF
Overall 21-14 7-25
Conference 13-5 5-13
Home 12-2 5-8
Away 6-10 2-14
Neutral 3-2 0-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 84.4 77.1
Avg Pts Against 83.8 89.6
Massey -2.9 (#215) -13.3 (#342)
Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#212) -2.21 (#343)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.73 (#218) -2.84 (#341)
RPI 0.487 (#211) 0.425 (#315)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNF
FG% 47.4% 44.8%
3PT% 35.4% 36.3%
REB / G 33.7 31.4
OREB / G 10.9 8.6
AST / TO 1.49 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.9% 54.4%
TOV% 15.1% 18.4%
ORB% 32.1% 24.8%
FT Rate 24.9% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 57.3%
Opp TOV% 14.7% 12.3%
DRB% 66.9% 61.9%
Opp FT Rate 29.4% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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