Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UNF +100 QUC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +5 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -2.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.3 (+7.3) | 155.8 (+29.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -4.4 (+9.4) | 154.8 (+30.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -2.3 (+7.3) | 157.6 (+27.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -2.5 (+7.5) | 157.0 (+28.0) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | QUC 91 – 72 UNF |
| Jan 10, 2026 | QUC 89 – 82 UNF |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNF 90 – 81 QUC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UNF 93 – 79 QUC |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UNF 91 – 75 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#296) | -0.5 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#242) | 0.33 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#263) | 0.08 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#197) | 0.512 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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