Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -2.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Over
Money QUC -138 / UNF +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual UNF +14 172 Lost
Massey QUC -1.9 (-15.9)
Massey Totals 163.3 (+8.7)
Bradley-Terry 65%
Weighted B-T 58%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -1.4 (-15.4) 159.8 (+12.2) 54%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -1.1 (-15.1) 157.7 (+14.3) 57%
Baseline ML QUC -1.0 (-15.0) 158.9 (+13.1) 55%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -0.7 (-14.7) 160.3 (+11.7) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 QUC 9172 UNF
Jan 10, 2026 QUC 8982 UNF
Jan 24, 2025 UNF 9081 QUC
Jan 20, 2024 UNF 9175 QUC
Jan 20, 2023 UNF 9590 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNF
Overall 14-19 16-16
Conference 7-9 9-7
Home 11-3 11-5
Away 2-16 5-11
Neutral 1-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 75.6
Avg Pts Against 82.6 77.7
Massey -6.8 (#281) -5.2 (#265)
Bradley-Terry -0.85 (#262) -0.82 (#257)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.14 (#269) -0.78 (#239)
RPI 0.452 (#265) 0.441 (#286)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNF
FG% 43.1% 43.7%
3PT% 32.0% 36.0%
REB / G 35.8 31.3
OREB / G 10.7 8.1
AST / TO 1.04 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 53.5%
TOV% 16.1% 16.3%
ORB% 27.6% 23.7%
FT Rate 23.4% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 15.0%
DRB% 70.1% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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