I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -2.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Over
Money QUC -138 / UNF +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual UNF +14 172 Lost
Massey QUC -1.9 (-15.9) — —
Massey Totals — 163.3 (+8.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 58% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUC -0.7 (-14.7) 160.3 (+11.7) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -1.4 (-15.4) 159.8 (+12.2) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -1.1 (-15.1) 157.7 (+14.3) 57% ✗
Baseline ML QUC -1.0 (-15.0) 158.9 (+13.1) 55% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 QUC 91 – 72 UNF
Jan 10, 2026 QUC 89 – 82 UNF
Jan 24, 2025 UNF 90 – 81 QUC
Jan 20, 2024 UNF 91 – 75 QUC
Jan 20, 2023 UNF 95 – 90 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNF
Overall 14-19 16-16
Conference 7-9 9-7
Home 11-3 11-5
Away 2-16 5-11
Neutral 1-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 75.6
Avg Pts Against 82.6 77.7
Massey -6.8 (#281) -5.2 (#265)
Bradley-Terry -0.85 (#262) -0.82 (#257)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.14 (#269) -0.78 (#239)
RPI 0.452 (#265) 0.441 (#286)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNF
FG% 43.1% 43.7%
3PT% 32.0% 36.0%
REB / G 35.8 31.3
OREB / G 10.7 8.1
AST / TO 1.04 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 53.5%
TOV% 16.1% 16.3%
ORB% 27.6% 23.7%
FT Rate 23.4% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 15.0%
DRB% 70.1% 70.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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