You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · January 24, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -4.5 Away covered
O/U 167.5 Over
Money QUC -215 / UNF +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual UNF +9 171 Lost
Massey QUC -5.5 (-14.5)
Massey Totals 169.9 (+1.1)
Bradley-Terry 81%
Weighted B-T 79%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -4.4 (-13.4) 158.2 (+12.8) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -5.6 (-14.6) 161.8 (+9.2) 74%
Baseline ML QUC -5.8 (-14.8) 159.7 (+11.3) 76%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -5.7 (-14.7) 158.8 (+12.2) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 QUC 9172 UNF
Jan 10, 2026 QUC 8982 UNF
Feb 15, 2024 UNF 9379 QUC
Jan 20, 2024 UNF 9175 QUC
Jan 20, 2023 UNF 9590 QUC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC UNF
Overall 20-15 15-17
Conference 11-7 8-10
Home 9-5 8-6
Away 9-9 7-10
Neutral 2-1 0-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 75.9 80.9
Avg Pts Against 76.3 85.7
Massey -2.2 (#203) -4.4 (#236)
Bradley-Terry 0.36 (#140) -0.50 (#222)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#175) -0.60 (#215)
RPI 0.521 (#144) 0.477 (#222)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC UNF
FG% 42.8% 43.9%
3PT% 33.3% 34.9%
REB / G 37.8 35.0
OREB / G 12.0 11.2
AST / TO 1.11 1.43
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 53.2%
TOV% 19.6% 14.0%
ORB% 31.8% 28.0%
FT Rate 19.4% 16.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 14.2%
DRB% 70.1% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.9% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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