Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UNF -188 QUC +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +16 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -6.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -4.7 (+11.3) | 155.0 (+11.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -4.2 (+11.8) | 154.8 (+11.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -4.5 (+11.5) | 151.7 (+14.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -4.5 (+11.5) | 152.8 (+13.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | QUC 91 – 72 UNF |
| Jan 10, 2026 | QUC 89 – 82 UNF |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UNF 90 – 81 QUC |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UNF 93 – 79 QUC |
| Jan 20, 2023 | UNF 95 – 90 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#275) | -8.4 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#236) | -0.73 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#238) | -1.30 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#245) | 0.463 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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