Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -290 L-MD +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +3 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -5.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -4.6 (-1.6) | 138.7 (-1.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -3.9 (-0.9) | 138.2 (-1.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.0 (-1.0) | 137.8 (-0.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -2.7 (+0.3) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BUCK 79 – 67 L-MD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BUCK 68 – 46 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#326) | -13.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#315) | -2.87 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#312) | -3.73 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#302) | 0.358 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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