Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD +120 BUCK -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -2.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.8 (-0.2) | 143.4 (-6.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -3.1 (+0.1) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -3.0 (-0.0) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -2.2 (-0.8) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BUCK 79 – 67 L-MD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BUCK 68 – 46 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#306) | -3.1 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#306) | -0.73 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#298) | -0.83 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#308) | 0.483 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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