Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BUCK -225 L-MD +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -6.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -5.1 (+6.9) | 142.1 (+3.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -4.4 (+7.6) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -4.1 (+7.9) | 141.2 (+4.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -3.7 (+8.3) | 142.6 (+3.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BUCK 68 – 46 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#254) | -9.1 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#272) | -1.54 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#271) | -1.97 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#270) | 0.416 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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