Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD +162 BUCK -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +22 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | BUCK -1.7 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -2.7 (-19.3) | 129.9 (-15.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -2.4 (-19.6) | 130.2 (-16.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -1.9 (-20.1) | 131.9 (-17.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -2.4 (-19.6) | 131.2 (-17.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BUCK 79 – 67 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 2-11 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#336) | -7.1 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#356) | -1.60 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#355) | -1.87 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#350) | 0.452 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.