Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MIA -1600 GT +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +10 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -16.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -15.8 (-5.8) | 151.4 (+20.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -12.1 (-2.1) | 150.6 (+21.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -14.5 (-4.5) | 150.0 (+22.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -14.9 (-4.9) | 150.7 (+21.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2025 | GT 89 – 74 MIA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | GT 80 – 76 MIA |
| Jan 5, 2023 | GT 76 – 70 MIA |
| Feb 10, 2022 | MIA 79 – 70 GT |
| Jan 29, 2022 | MIA 73 – 62 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-9 |
| Away | 8-2 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#31) | 2.3 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#30) | -0.01 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#32) | -0.15 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#67) | 0.499 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 40.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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