Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MIA -450 GT +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | MIA -10.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -8.9 (-12.9) | 146.0 (+10.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIA -8.8 (-12.8) | 144.8 (+11.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -9.0 (-13.0) | 142.7 (+13.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -8.9 (-12.9) | 143.1 (+12.9) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MIA 91 – 81 GT |
| Mar 5, 2025 | GT 89 – 74 MIA |
| Jan 5, 2023 | GT 76 – 70 MIA |
| Feb 10, 2022 | MIA 79 – 70 GT |
| Jan 29, 2022 | MIA 73 – 62 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L10 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#72) | 1.4 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#91) | 0.59 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#88) | 0.44 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#122) | 0.513 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.