Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -575 NIA +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +18 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -16.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -11.1 (+6.9) | 139.7 (-15.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -11.2 (+6.8) | 141.4 (-17.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -11.3 (+6.7) | 140.7 (-16.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -12.0 (+6.0) | 139.8 (-15.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NIA 70 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IONA 65 – 63 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | NIA 75 – 73 IONA |
| Mar 10, 2023 | IONA 71 – 59 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#216) | -15.8 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#150) | -2.62 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#157) | -3.40 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#135) | 0.378 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 26.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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