Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | IONA -440 NIA +335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -11.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -10.9 (-12.9) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -8.6 (-10.6) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -8.8 (-10.8) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.9 (-10.9) | 143.2 (+4.8) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NIA 70 – 68 IONA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IONA 71 – 53 NIA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IONA 65 – 63 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Mar 10, 2023 | IONA 71 – 59 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-8 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#172) | -7.7 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#197) | -1.41 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#175) | -1.95 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#198) | 0.427 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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