Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +164 IONA -198 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -5.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -5.6 (+7.6) | 131.1 (+6.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -6.1 (+8.1) | 131.5 (+6.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -5.0 (+7.0) | 130.5 (+7.5) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.9 (+6.9) | 131.4 (+6.6) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | IONA 71 – 53 NIA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IONA 65 – 63 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | NIA 75 – 73 IONA |
| Mar 10, 2023 | IONA 71 – 59 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#342) | -4.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#349) | -0.35 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#346) | -0.53 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#332) | 0.503 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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