Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NIA -110 IONA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -1.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -0.8 (-1.2) | 137.4 (-9.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -0.1 (-2.1) | 138.7 (-10.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -0.2 (-1.8) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -0.2 (-1.8) | 138.0 (-10.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NIA 70 – 68 IONA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IONA 71 – 53 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | NIA 75 – 73 IONA |
| Mar 10, 2023 | IONA 71 – 59 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#315) | -7.1 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#307) | -0.96 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#323) | -1.36 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#299) | 0.458 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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