Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -1400 NIA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -13.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -11.5 (+0.5) | 135.1 (-5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -12.1 (-0.1) | 133.8 (-3.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -12.0 (+0.0) | 136.8 (-6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.3 (+0.7) | 136.5 (-6.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | NIA 70 – 68 IONA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IONA 71 – 53 NIA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | IONA 65 – 63 NIA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IONA 74 – 71 NIA |
| Jan 7, 2024 | NIA 75 – 73 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#64) | -4.9 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#86) | -0.75 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#91) | -1.04 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#30) | 0.468 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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