Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -4000 WIS +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +3 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -25.8 (-28.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -18.2 (-21.2) | 158.6 (+20.4) | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -18.9 (-21.9) | 166.0 (+13.0) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -24.0 (-27.0) | 158.1 (+20.9) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -22.2 (-25.2) | 156.2 (+22.8) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MICH 87 – 79 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 11-0 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 32.8 (#1) | 10.6 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.41 (#4) | 1.80 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.11 (#3) | 2.71 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.730 (#1) | 0.566 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 44.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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