Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MICH +170 WIS -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +6 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -1.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-40.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.9 (+7.9) | 148.5 (-36.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -3.0 (+9.0) | 147.4 (-35.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.3 (+8.3) | 147.4 (-35.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.3 (+8.3) | 147.4 (-35.4) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MICH 87 – 79 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#22) | 17.9 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#16) | 3.04 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#17) | 3.97 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#17) | 0.602 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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