Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -250 WIS +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +8 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -5.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -5.5 (+2.5) | 132.9 (+33.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MICH -5.3 (+2.7) | 130.9 (+35.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | MICH -6.0 (+2.0) | 131.0 (+35.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -5.9 (+2.1) | 132.0 (+34.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#50) | 8.0 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#60) | 1.74 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#44) | 2.24 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#75) | 0.551 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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