Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MICH +280 WIS -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -6.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -5.8 (+9.8) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -5.2 (+9.2) | 144.1 (-4.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.6 (+9.6) | 147.4 (-7.4) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.2 (+9.2) | 148.5 (-8.5) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MICH 87 – 79 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L9 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#100) | 14.8 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#161) | 2.50 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#124) | 3.16 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#139) | 0.631 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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