Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -165 MICH +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -5.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.7 (-7.7) | 146.7 (-15.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -5.3 (-8.3) | 145.0 (-14.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.0 (-9.0) | 146.8 (-15.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.7 (-8.7) | 148.7 (-17.7) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MICH 87 – 79 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#35) | 12.4 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.55 (#3) | 2.09 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.31 (#2) | 3.51 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.683 (#15) | 0.631 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 35.0% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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