Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -950 WIS +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -13.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.4 (-32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -10.6 (-7.6) | 160.4 (-27.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -8.4 (-5.4) | 162.1 (-29.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -10.8 (-7.8) | 158.8 (-25.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -10.6 (-7.6) | 157.0 (-24.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
| Feb 26, 2023 | MICH 87 – 79 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 11-0 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 29.5 (#1) | 16.1 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.14 (#2) | 2.97 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.64 (#2) | 3.57 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.683 (#1) | 0.594 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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