Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -650 BALL +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -14.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -10.7 (-2.7) | 140.5 (+9.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -10.7 (-2.7) | 140.6 (+9.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -10.7 (-2.7) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -10.0 (-2.0) | 141.7 (+8.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BALL 74 – 73 MASS |
| Nov 21, 2021 | BALL 89 – 86 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#168) | -11.2 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#193) | -2.70 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#184) | -3.26 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#224) | 0.366 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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