Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | BALL +160 MASS -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -6.1 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.5 (+6.5) | 139.4 (+7.6) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -5.5 (+6.5) | 138.2 (+8.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -5.5 (+6.5) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.3 (+5.3) | 140.3 (+6.7) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MASS 79 – 71 BALL |
| Nov 21, 2021 | BALL 89 – 86 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#311) | -0.9 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#325) | -0.20 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#330) | -0.27 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#348) | 0.492 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.