Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -105 CARK -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -0.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -2.7 (+1.3) | 151.7 (+2.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -0.7 (+3.3) | 149.2 (+4.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -0.7 (+3.3) | 150.0 (+4.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -1.1 (+2.9) | 151.2 (+2.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2023 | EKU 74 – 58 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.1 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#268) | -2.4 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#268) | -1.17 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#274) | -1.50 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#236) | 0.453 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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