Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -1400 CARK +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +13 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -14.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -11.5 (+1.5) | 152.5 (+24.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -12.5 (+0.5) | 152.6 (+24.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -11.9 (+1.1) | 150.0 (+27.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -11.3 (+1.7) | 151.1 (+25.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2023 | EKU 74 – 58 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#211) | -13.5 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#186) | -1.96 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#207) | -2.48 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#164) | 0.389 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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