Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -1000 CARK +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -13.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -11.2 (+4.8) | 158.8 (-26.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -10.8 (+5.2) | 158.8 (-26.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -11.4 (+4.6) | 157.4 (-25.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -11.1 (+4.9) | 158.6 (-26.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 82.4 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#190) | -10.7 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#120) | -1.13 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | -1.76 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#91) | 0.449 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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