Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CARK -218 EKU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -8.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -7.6 (+1.4) | 151.7 (+19.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -5.7 (+3.3) | 155.2 (+15.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -8.0 (+1.0) | 149.3 (+21.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -7.7 (+1.3) | 150.7 (+20.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2023 | EKU 74 – 58 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#183) | -6.3 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#230) | -1.46 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#232) | -1.82 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#224) | 0.443 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.