Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CARK +275 EKU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +23 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -2.3 (-20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -4.6 (-18.4) | 147.5 (+1.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -2.2 (-20.8) | 147.3 (+1.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -1.9 (-21.1) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.2 (-20.8) | 149.9 (-0.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EKU 89 – 83 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2023 | EKU 74 – 58 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#343) | -6.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#337) | -1.35 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#333) | -1.85 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#341) | 0.428 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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