Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CARK +240 EKU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +6 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -6.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -6.1 (+0.1) | 148.3 (+23.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -6.1 (+0.1) | 145.8 (+26.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -6.0 (-0.0) | 147.8 (+24.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -5.6 (-0.4) | 147.8 (+24.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CARK 90 – 81 EKU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EKU 79 – 75 CARK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | EKU 95 – 82 CARK |
| Jan 12, 2024 | EKU 86 – 63 CARK |
| Feb 17, 2023 | EKU 74 – 58 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#342) | -0.8 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#337) | -0.82 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#332) | -0.92 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#333) | 0.476 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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