Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | GB -290 IUIN +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | GB -10.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.8 (-35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -10.1 (+5.9) | 155.4 (-21.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -8.6 (+7.4) | 156.1 (-22.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -10.6 (+5.4) | 157.1 (-23.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -10.4 (+5.6) | 158.5 (-24.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | GB 85 – 75 IUIN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | IUIN 86 – 77 GB |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IUIN 84 – 75 GB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | GB 79 – 56 IUIN |
| Jan 10, 2024 | GB 68 – 58 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 89.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#238) | -11.5 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#152) | -2.40 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#154) | -3.15 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#115) | 0.368 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 35.7% |
Game Analysis
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