Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +140 GB -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | GB -1.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -1.4 (+10.4) | 155.5 (+3.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -0.6 (+9.6) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GB -1.1 (+10.1) | 152.3 (+6.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -1.4 (+10.4) | 149.5 (+9.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | GB 75 – 59 IUIN |
| Dec 11, 2025 | GB 85 – 75 IUIN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | IUIN 86 – 77 GB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | GB 79 – 56 IUIN |
| Jan 10, 2024 | GB 68 – 58 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 2-18 |
| Home | 6-8 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-12 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#337) | -4.7 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#342) | -1.26 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.08 (#349) | -1.31 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#324) | 0.405 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 5.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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