But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Horizon League · Resch Center · January 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread IUIN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money GB +110 / IUIN -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total GB win
Actual IUIN +9 163 Lost
Massey GB -0.2 (-9.2)
Massey Totals 152.9 (+10.1)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML GB -0.5 (-9.5) 143.5 (+19.5) 46%
Baseline Tuned ML IUIN -0.5 (-8.5) 144.3 (+18.7) 48%
Baseline ML IUIN -0.5 (-8.5) 143.7 (+19.3) 43%
Baseline Plus ML IUIN -2.7 (-6.3) 142.4 (+20.6) 39%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 GB 7559 IUIN
Dec 11, 2025 GB 8575 IUIN
Dec 4, 2024 IUIN 8475 GB
Feb 1, 2024 GB 7956 IUIN
Jan 10, 2024 GB 6858 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GB IUIN
Overall 4-28 10-22
Conference 2-18 6-14
Home 3-11 6-8
Away 1-17 4-12
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 72.4
Avg Pts Against 80.6 79.7
Massey -11.3 (#331) -8.1 (#298)
Bradley-Terry -2.51 (#342) -2.55 (#343)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.71 (#333) -2.96 (#338)
RPI 0.396 (#332) 0.372 (#349)
Shooting & Four Factors GB IUIN
FG% 44.7% 40.5%
3PT% 33.7% 35.4%
REB / G 27.7 31.9
OREB / G 4.7 10.7
AST / TO 0.95 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 49.4%
TOV% 20.0% 18.5%
ORB% 15.5% 30.6%
FT Rate 27.1% 26.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.2% 55.4%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 16.8%
DRB% 66.6% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 30.7%

Game Analysis

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