We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane
Horizon League · The Jungle · December 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread IUIN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 165.5 Under
Money IUIN -148 / GB +124
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual GB +10 160 Lost
Massey GB -1.1 (-8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 177.0 (-17.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 44% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 31% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GB -1.7 (-8.3) 155.7 (+4.3) 43% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IUIN -1.5 (-11.5) 152.9 (+7.1) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML GB -2.1 (-7.9) 158.5 (+1.5) 45% ✓
Baseline ML GB -1.9 (-8.1) 159.0 (+1.0) 49% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 GB 75 – 59 IUIN
Jan 23, 2025 IUIN 86 – 77 GB
Dec 4, 2024 IUIN 84 – 75 GB
Feb 1, 2024 GB 79 – 56 IUIN
Jan 10, 2024 GB 68 – 58 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN GB
Overall 7-25 18-15
Conference 3-17 12-8
Home 5-9 10-4
Away 2-15 6-9
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 80.9 73.9
Avg Pts Against 89.2 75.9
Massey -10.9 (#317) -5.0 (#248)
Bradley-Terry -1.71 (#302) -0.52 (#220)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.49 (#303) -0.58 (#209)
RPI 0.387 (#332) 0.507 (#164)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN GB
FG% 44.0% 42.5%
3PT% 31.9% 29.8%
REB / G 32.4 30.4
OREB / G 11.8 7.7
AST / TO 1.45 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 48.7%
TOV% 16.5% 16.2%
ORB% 27.6% 22.8%
FT Rate 14.7% 32.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.8% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 12.1%
DRB% 60.4% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 32.3% 30.7%

Game Analysis

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