Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +300 GB -385 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +10 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | GB -11.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -9.2 (-0.8) | 130.8 (-4.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -11.3 (+1.3) | 133.9 (-7.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -10.9 (+0.9) | 134.8 (-8.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -10.0 (+0.0) | 131.1 (-5.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | GB 75 – 59 IUIN |
| Dec 11, 2025 | GB 85 – 75 IUIN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | IUIN 86 – 77 GB |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IUIN 84 – 75 GB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | GB 79 – 56 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -17.5 (#360) | -2.1 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#354) | -0.49 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.10 (#354) | -0.78 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#361) | 0.478 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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