Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +350 HPU -455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -7.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -8.1 (+6.1) | 158.3 (+7.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -8.0 (+6.0) | 159.0 (+7.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -7.4 (+5.4) | 156.9 (+9.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -9.0 (+7.0) | 158.7 (+7.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | HPU 86 – 79 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 31-5 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 15-1 |
| Home | 10-4 | 17-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#198) | 9.2 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#211) | 0.38 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#217) | 0.53 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#232) | 0.498 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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