Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +340 HPU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +14 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -3.8 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -4.7 (-9.3) | 148.0 (+24.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -5.9 (-8.1) | 148.7 (+23.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -4.7 (-9.3) | 147.1 (+24.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -4.6 (-9.4) | 150.3 (+21.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | HPU 86 – 79 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#277) | 1.5 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#296) | 0.47 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#288) | 0.53 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#291) | 0.507 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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