Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -3000 CHSO +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +23 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -15.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -14.9 (+8.1) | 150.2 (-7.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -13.3 (+9.7) | 152.3 (-9.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -14.0 (+9.0) | 153.7 (-10.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -15.1 (+7.9) | 152.0 (-9.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | HPU 86 – 79 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#95) | -7.2 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#78) | -1.01 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#80) | -1.38 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#66) | 0.455 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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