Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +600 HPU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +15 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -10.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -9.5 (-5.5) | 148.0 (-15.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -9.8 (-5.2) | 148.6 (-15.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -8.6 (-6.4) | 150.7 (-17.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -9.9 (-5.1) | 149.3 (-16.3) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | HPU 86 – 79 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 82.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#323) | 3.6 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#300) | 0.99 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#308) | 1.27 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#275) | 0.548 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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