Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -1600 CHSO +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -17.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -14.6 (-7.6) | 150.1 (+14.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -13.2 (-6.2) | 149.5 (+15.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -13.7 (-6.7) | 151.5 (+13.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -14.7 (-7.7) | 150.7 (+14.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | HPU 80 – 55 CHSO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HPU 84 – 82 CHSO |
| Feb 20, 2025 | HPU 83 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 9, 2025 | HPU 93 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | HPU 74 – 59 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.1 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#121) | -11.1 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#91) | -2.04 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#79) | -2.56 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#102) | 0.412 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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