Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -1350 LSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -13.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -12.9 (-1.9) | 159.7 (-2.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -10.8 (+0.2) | 159.2 (-2.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -12.7 (-1.7) | 159.7 (-2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -12.8 (-1.8) | 159.9 (-2.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | VAN 80 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LSU 75 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 10, 2024 | LSU 77 – 69 VAN |
| Mar 10, 2023 | VAN 77 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LSU 84 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 22.7 (#7) | 13.2 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.35 (#5) | 1.95 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.41 (#4) | 2.67 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.673 (#5) | 0.573 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.88 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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