Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +120 VAN -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -1.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -1.9 (-9.9) | 156.0 (-4.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -3.1 (-11.1) | 154.8 (-2.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -3.0 (-11.0) | 154.8 (-2.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -2.4 (-10.4) | 154.1 (-2.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | VAN 84 – 73 LSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LSU 75 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 10, 2024 | LSU 77 – 69 VAN |
| Mar 10, 2023 | VAN 77 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LSU 84 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#49) | 13.9 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#38) | 2.27 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#40) | 2.69 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#90) | 0.560 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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