Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | LSU -385 VAN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -13.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -12.1 (-4.1) | 141.6 (+4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -9.5 (-1.5) | 139.9 (+6.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -13.3 (-5.3) | 140.4 (+5.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -12.7 (-4.7) | 140.9 (+5.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | VAN 84 – 73 LSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VAN 80 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LSU 75 – 61 VAN |
| Mar 10, 2023 | VAN 77 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | LSU 84 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#88) | -3.5 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#91) | -0.99 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#78) | -1.16 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#136) | 0.463 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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